Rexaming Christensen’s Predictions on The Disruptive Effects of Digital Technology on Higher Education
Christensen’s theory of disruptive innovation has gained widespread familiarity among both academics and practitioners. Christensen’s basic premise is that when new entrants develop disruptive technology existing incumbents risk being disrupted and put out of business. Based on the theory of disruptive innovation, in 2011 Christensen postulated that, as a result of the emergence of new online digital technologies, 50% of all existing Universities in the U.S. will be bankrupt in 10 years. We are now 8 years into his ten-year window and relatively few schools have gone out of business. The purpose of this paper is to examine what has actually happened over the last ten years and revisit the prediction in light of new perspectives on the theory.
Keywords - Innovation, Disruptive Innovation, Digital Learning, Disruptive Technology Higher Education, E-learning.